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The Kansas Town Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers will wrap up Sunday’s Week 11 action when these AFC West rivals sq. off at SoFi Stadium in primary time.
Entering this 7 days, the Chiefs are rolling on a three-recreation successful streak that has them in initially place in the division and atop the convention. As for the Chargers, they have remained in the playoff hunt regardless of dealing with numerous injuries, specifically to the extensive receiver room. That stated, Justin Herbert could be having back again Keenan Allen and Mike Williams immediately after each practiced completely on Friday.
Even though the Chiefs might be atop the standings, they have not been the much better team to wager on so considerably this year among these division foes. K.C. is 4-5 ATS coming into Week 11, even though the Chargers are 6-3 ATS.
With all that in thoughts, we will particularly be on the lookout at the unique betting angles that this sport has to offer. Along with the unfold and complete, we’ll also get a look at quite a few participant props and hand in our picks for how we see this showdown unfolding.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Day: Sunday, Nov. 20 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
TV: NBC | Stream: fuboTV (consider for free)
Abide by: CBS Sports App
Odds: Chiefs -5, O/U 52
Showcased Sport | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas Town Chiefs
The lookahead on this line had the Chiefs as a 5.5-place favorite, but that jumped up to Chiefs -7, possible owing to the uncertainty encompassing Los Angeles’ top receivers. The moment there turned some clarity on their statuses, we did see this line move back towards the Chargers and at present sits at Chiefs -5.
The decide: Chargers +5. Los Angeles has historically performed the Chiefs limited. Justin Herbert is 3-1 ATS in his head-to-head matchups with Patrick Mahomes. Each of those people video games has also been identified by six points or much less. Herbert is also 5- ATS as a 5-point underdog or additional in his occupation. When you account for that good results and the discrepancy at the large receiver placement, items do pattern favorably toward the Chargers. All symptoms issue to each Allen and Williams returning for this match, whilst K.C. will be with no Mecole Hardman (wounded reserve) and JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion). All that is adequate to get the factors here.
Essential pattern: Chiefs are -5-1 ATS in their past 6 online games, next a straight-up get.
There is certainly been slight movement with the full. Right after opening at 50, it briefly dipped to 49.5 before shifting back again up a 50 % level. Pretty much in lockstep with the line transferring as soon as — there was some clarity revolving close to Allen and Williams — the overall also bumped up as large as 52, the place it currently sits on the eve of this matchup.
The choose: Around 52. The Less than is 3-1 in the past four matchups between Herbert and Mahomes. That explained, dating to previous time, their video games have averaged 55.6 details and they have specially long gone more than this number in two of the three matchups. Mahomes also played notably effectively in divisional highway online games, owning a 105.4 passer score and a 30-4 landing-to-interception ratio.
Key craze: Over is 7-1 in the Chiefs’ past eight road game titles.
Patrick Mahomes props
- Passing touchdowns: 2.5 (In excess of +114, Under -157)
- Passing yards: 288.5 (More than -117, Underneath -117)
- Hurrying yards: 27.5 (Around -103, Beneath -133)
- Completions: 25.5 (More than -108, Below -127)
- Longest move completion: 38.5 (About -123, Below -111)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Above -106, Under -129)
Of course, Mahomes is down a few of receivers, but that should not avoid him from topping this passing yards complete. He is long gone above this range in 5 straight video games and the Chiefs have no working recreation to converse of, which will most likely place the ball in Mahomes’ fingers even a lot more. It truly is also value noting that Mahomes has gone about this speeding full in his very last two video games.
Justin Herbert props
- Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (More than -179, Underneath +129)
- Passing yards: 276.5 (More than -117, Less than -117)
- Dashing yards: 8.5 (In excess of -121, Under -113)
- Longest move completion: 36.5 (In excess of -117, Under -117)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Around -129, Under -106)
As we famous, Herbert plays the Chiefs properly and is averaging more than two passing touchdowns for each recreation in his preceding 4 matchups versus Mahomes. With Williams and Allen predicted again into the acquiring rotation on Sunday, hunting for Herbert to toss at the very least two touchdowns appears to be like a good way to lean. He is also averaging 291 passing yards for each video game in opposition to Mahomes in his career. If he follows that typical, he’d fly around his passing yards prop as properly.
Player props to consider
Kadarius Toney anytime touchdown (+145). Kansas City is going to be down a pair of receivers and Toney is coming off a mini-breakout match against the Jaguars last week. He caught four of his 5 targets for 57 yards and a touchdown, even though also hurrying two times for 33 yards. The Chiefs appear to be to be putting the ball in his fingers in a amount of distinct means, which gives us even additional chance to hard cash on this anytime landing prop. With an predicted uptick in snaps, Toney has the gamebreaking potential to find the finish zone.
Jerick McKinnon whole obtaining yards: In excess of 25.5 (-113). McKinnon has been a go-to concentrate on for Mahomes in excess of the final number of weeks, averaging eight targets a match about that extend. He’s also long gone around this acquiring yards total in 4 straight game titles coming into Week 11.