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The Inexperienced Bay Packers host the Tennessee Titans for the 7 days 11 version of Thursday Night Football.
Green Bay is coming off a surprising upset get about the Dallas Cowboys, and is seeking to safe a different victory to catapult by itself again into the NFC playoff race. The Titans re-solidified their keep on the AFC South by pulling off a close victory from the Denver Broncos a 7 days ago, and can put some length among by themselves and the rest of the division by likely on the highway and pulling off an upset more than their very own on Thursday evening.
Will the Packers be equipped to notch a 2nd consecutive earn, or will the Titans spoil their strategies? We are going to discover out quickly enough. Ahead of we break down the matchup, this is how you can watch the video game.
How to watch
Day: Thursday, Nov. 17 | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Area: Lambeau Field (Inexperienced Bay, Wisconsin)
Stream: Amazon Prime Video
Observe: CBS Sports activities App
Odds: Packers -3, O/U 41
When the Titans have the ball
We know particularly what is coming on this aspect of the ball: A hefty dose of Derrick Henry, early and frequently, and the occasional enjoy-motion faux to established up an intermediate-range toss. That is just how the Titans do issues.
The Packers deliver a very friendly opponent for this form of system. Eco-friendly Bay frequently invitations opponents to run the ball with its alignment up front, and it is extremely unsuccessful in halting these operates. The Packers rank 30th in run defense DVOA and 32nd in opponent’s Adjusted Line Yards at Football Outsiders, as properly as 27th in yards in advance of call per carry and 25th in opponent’s explosive run rate, according to Tru Media. You can run on them fairly a great deal any where: They are 24th in Altered Line Yards from on operates to the left end, 22nd in operates off still left deal with, 27th in operates up the middle, 29th in operates off ideal deal with, and 26th in operates off proper end.
In other words, this all appears to be location up rather nicely for just one of all those monster Derrick Henry video games the place he has 30 carries for near to 200 yards and a few scores. It would be a rather major upset if the Packers held him in look at, and set undue tension on Ryan Tannehill and the passing assault.
Tannehill was not specially steady in his return to the lineup previous 7 days, but some of that certainly had to do with heading up against arguably the ideal pass protection in the NFL. He was just 19 of 36 for 255 yards versus the Broncos, with a single of his two touchdowns coming on a flea-flicker where Nick Westbrook-Ikhine was totally uncovered. Treylon Burks returned to the fold past week as nicely, and right away assumed a sizable position. He failed to do a great deal with it but the expertise is there for him to make some huge performs — specifically towards a Environmentally friendly Bay secondary working with various accidents.
When the Packers have the ball
The Packers finally appeared to come across a great offensive groove very last week against the Cowboys. The system associated supplying the ball to Aaron Jones in excess of and around all over again (his 24 carries were a person shy of a occupation-superior) with excellent accomplishment (138 yards and a touchdown), spelling him with A.J. Dillon (13 carries for 65 yards) and obtaining Aaron Rodgers essentially toss only specific deep shots versus the Cowboys’ weakest cornerbacks. All three of Christian Watson’s extended touchdowns noticed him simply operate specifically previous just one of Dallas’ non-Trevon Diggs corners (1 every from Anthony Brown, Da’Ron Bland, and Kelvin Joseph) as Rodgers led him into open house with the pass.
There’s fantastic information and bad information for the Packers when it comes to this sort of attack versus Tennessee. The undesirable news is the Titans have one of the NFL’s best run defenses. The Titans rank second in the NFL in speeding yards permitted and third in yards authorized for each carry. They’re to start with in run defense DVOA at Football Outsiders and initially in EPA authorized for each rush try, in accordance to Tru Media. They’ve finished their ideal get the job done restricting yards prior to first contact, as opponents have gained only .79 yards prior to call per carry they are the only workforce in the league making get hold of with ball-carriers in advance of opponents achieve a single property.
If you can break through that very first tackle, while, they are yards to be attained. Opponents have averaged 3.19 yards just after contact for each rush from Tennessee — sixth-most in the NFL. Jones is 10th in the league in yards immediately after get hold of for each carry and fifth in prevented-tackle price, per Tru Media, so if any individual is heading to break just one versus Tennessee, it may be him. The Titans have also been fairly susceptible to passes to opposing managing backs, yielding 65 catches (3rd-most in the NFL) for 388 yards (eighth-most) and three touchdowns (tied for third-most) on throws to gamers out of the backfield.
Accidents in the trenches could engage in a position in this run-video game struggle, as Bud Dupree is out and Jeffery Simmons is questionable for the Titans, when David Bakhtiari and Elgton Jenkins are every questionable for Inexperienced Bay. These opportunity absences will undoubtedly have an effect on Rodgers’ safety as nicely, and dictate how substantially time he has to goal receivers downfield. Tennessee has been very helpful to opposing offenses on deep passes this time, ranking 32nd in DVOA and permitting 29 completions on 56 attempts of 16 or far more air yards, with all those throws ensuing in 966 yards (most in the NFL) and five touchdowns.
Highlighted Game | Eco-friendly Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans
Prediction: Packers 23, Titans 17