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Two AFC foes face off tonight in Indianapolis, as Kenny Pickett and the Pittsburgh Steelers stop by Jeff Saturday and the Colts. Even though the Steelers lost to the Cincinnati Bengals very last 7 days, they scored a time-substantial 30 points. The Colts are also coming off of a loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, but they’ve coated the spread in equally of the two game titles Saturday has coached.
This is the initially sport that the Saturday-led Colts have been favored in. Is Vegas appropriate in its assumption, or is Mike Tomlin’s team ready to place with each other a powerful next half of the period? Down below, we will break down this Monday night time matchup from a gambling standpoint, and examine the line motion, Over/Underneath and player props to consider. To start with, here’s how you can watch the game.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Monday, Nov. 28 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Spot: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)
TV: ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (consider for free)
Observe: CBS Athletics App
Odds: Colts -2.5, O/U 39.5
Featured Recreation | Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Line motion
This line reopened at IND -3 on Tuesday, Nov. 15. It fell to IND -2.5 past Sunday, and was briefly stated at IND -3 on Monday in advance of falling again down to IND -2.5.
The decide: Steelers +2.5. I believe the completely wrong staff is favored in this matchup. The Colts are 1-4 ATS as favorites this time, and have gained just just one of the five online games they have been favored in. That contains Jonathan Taylor is going to be critical in this matchup, but Pittsburgh has the sixth-most effective run defense in the NFL, permitting an regular of 103.4 hurrying yards per recreation. A explanation Matt Ryan was benched earlier in the yr was mainly because he struggled to transfer all over in the pocket and steer clear of strain. Getting T.J. Watt chasing him is going to be pleasurable to watch.
Offensively, the Steelers aren’t some will have to-watch unit, but the parts are there. Najee Harris had two touchdowns very last week, and George Pickens caught 4 passes for 83 yards and a touchdown. Pickett threw for 265 yards and a landing while registering an 85.9 quarterback rating. He is evidently discovering with every single commence, and is primed to earn his initial vocation highway victory. The Steelers have won the past seven conferences in opposition to the Colts. Give me Pittsburgh with the upset.
Above/Underneath 39.5
The overall reopened at 39.5 on Tuesday, Nov. 15. This earlier Monday, it fell to 39, but bumped back again up to 39.5 this weekend.
The decide: More than 39.5. The Less than has been a dollars cow for the Colts, as they are 9-2 to the Underneath this time. The Steelers also strike the Below additional generally than not at a 6-4 clip. At any time a full is beneath 40, it essentially gets a continue to be-away for me. On one hand I like to root for factors, but on the other, the stats say to go in advance and take the Below. I am heading to consider the Above for enjoyment, but this is just a lean.
Kenny Pickett props
Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (About +196, Under -284)
Passing yards: 212.5 (Around -117, Below -117)
Passing attempts: OFF
Passing completions: OFF
Longest passing completion: 32.5 (More than -129, Under -106)
Interceptions: 0.5 (Around -119, Less than -115)
I am likely to hold my breath and get the About on Pickett’s passing touchdowns. He’s in no way thrown two in a sport before and only has a few landing passes in seven video games played. Continue to, that +196 juice is appealing. I’ll get the In excess of on passing yards, and I’ll almost certainly consider Pickett to toss an interception as nicely.
Matt Ryan props
Passing touchdowns: 1.5 (More than +112, Under -154)
Passing yards: 232.5 (Above -117, Less than -117)
Passing makes an attempt: OFF
Passing completions: OFF
Longest passing completion: 36.5 (Around -117, Below -117)
Interceptions: 0.5 (More than -127, Under -108)
I will never wager Ryan’s touchdown number, and my lean is to the Above on passing yards. Ryan is averaging 271.4 passing yards for each match this year, but he has not hit this 233 number because returning to the starting up lineup in Week 10. I am going to just take the veteran to toss an interception as properly.
Player props
George Pickens receptions: Around 3.5 (-151). I will not specifically feel the juice is warranted below, but I’m nevertheless heading to perform it. Pickens caught 4 of 6 targets for 83 yards and a landing previous week. He is a gifted player the Steelers will rely on.
Najee Harris whenever landing (+107). At additionally cash, why not?