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To close out a wild 7 days 12, the Indianapolis Colts play host to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday night time.
The Colts are 1-1 below interim head mentor Jeff Saturday, acquiring defeated the Raiders in his debut in advance of getting rid of a shut one to the Eagles final week. The Steelers, meanwhile, are just 2-4 considering that generating the change to rookie initial-spherical select Kenny Pickett below centre, and have scored more than 20 factors in just one particular of individuals online games.
The Steelers are, as standard, winning with protection when they do acquire, and they will check out to do so yet again on Monday night time. The Colts would surely appreciate to grind this recreation down with Jonathan Taylor, but that is less difficult claimed than completed towards Pittsburgh’s defensive entrance.
Which of these two groups will get back in the earn column? We’ll locate out shortly sufficient. Just before we crack down the matchup, this is how you can watch the video game.
How to watch
Date: Monday, Nov. 28 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Spot: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)
TV: ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports activities App
Odds: Colts -2.5, O/U 39.5 (courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook)
When the Steelers have the ball
The Colts are dealing with a bunch of injuries on defense. Shaq Leonard and Tyquan Lewis are on injured reserve. Kwity Paye was dominated out for this video game. DeForest Buckner seems like he’ll perform after receiving in a whole exercise late in the 7 days, but Yannick Ngakoue was extra to the harm report as constrained on Thursday and then DNP on Friday, which isn’t really a wonderful indicator.
Pittsburgh has struggled to run the ball through the time, with Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren frequently getting contacted in the backfield on their carries. That looks not likely to transform from a group that ranks sixth in the NFL in rush defense DVOA at Football Outsiders, and that has authorized just 1.31 yards before speak to for each rush attempt this time, in accordance to TruMedia. (That is the sixth-least expensive figure in the league.)
With Warren out thanks to injuries, Harris will probable see the sizeable the greater part of the backfield get the job done, and though he’s looked superior of late (20 carries for 99 yards two weeks back, 20 for 90 and two touchdowns final week), this is not the best matchup. The Colts have been extra vulnerable on passes to managing backs and tight ends in the small spots of the subject than they have to the operate activity, which truly will work out perfectly for Harris and Pat Freiermuth, who are two of Kenny Pickett’s top rated targets. Particularly with Leonard out, Freiermuth could have a pleasant night time functioning the gentle places in Indianapolis’ zone coverage.
Pickett has been unbelievably inefficient when targeting Diontae Johnson on the outdoors, and not all that a lot superior when targeting rookie George Pickens. The Colts have a reliable coverage group that must hold its individual in this matchup, with Stephon Gilmore, Kenny Moore II, and Isaiah Rodgers lots capable of hanging with what Pittsburgh has to give on the perimeter.
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When the Colts have the ball
Indianapolis has unsurprisingly ridden Jonathan Taylor hard considering the fact that his return from harm, handing him 22 carries in every single of the previous two games. That approach was unsurprisingly extra prosperous against the Raiders (147 yards, 6.7 per have) than it was against the Eagles (84 yards, 3.8 for each have), but we need to nonetheless count on it to carry on here.
Pittsburgh has the league’s seventh-rated run defense by DVOA this season, however, so the Colts may well obtain more durable sledding there. The Steelers have stopped 20% of opponent runs at or at the rear of the line of scrimmage, the eighth-greatest mark in the NFL, when the Colts have also been stopped at or at the rear of the line at the same fee. Indy’s offensive line has taken a substantial step backward this period, and is no extended the dominant device we have occur to be expecting over the previous various decades. Primarily with T.J. Watt again in the mix, Pittsburgh has the edge among the the two groups up front.
Watt and Co. pose an even higher challenge for the Colts in go security, where they have struggled terribly all over the season. The Colts rank 29th in Pro Football Focus’ go-blocking grades and 28th in Football Outsiders’ Altered Sack Charge. They have permitted stress on a lot more than 35% of dropbacks, per TruMedia, 1 of the optimum charges in the league. Pittsburgh has not created tension at as substantial a fee this period as you would expect, but a lot of that is due to Watt possessing skipped a major chunk of the 12 months.
When Matt Ryan seems downfield, he’s most generally on the lookout for possibly Michael Pittman or, lately, Parris Campbell. In Ryan’s very last 4 starts, Campbell has long gone for 7-51-1, 10-70-1, 7-76-1, and 5-67-. With Ahkello Witherspoon yet again out for this video game, the Steelers will have Cameron Sutton, Levi Wallace, and Arthur Maulet as their trio or cornerbacks. None is automatically all that imposing a matchup, but neither is Ryan all that imposing a passer to deal with at this level in his vocation.
Showcased Video game | Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Prediction: Steelers 16, Colts 13